Thirty-nine pages is a lot to hold in your head. This is the shape of it: five levers, one office they all run through, what that produces — and what pushes back. Every box links to the evidence.
Direct payments pledged to the public, and what happened to each. This is the simplest accountability test on the site: was it delivered?
The $500 rebate is real money from an existing fee surplus and is scheduled to arrive in October. The $5,000 is conditioned on an election result, would cost close to the entire discretionary budget, and would require Congress. The other two were promised and never came.
The clearest chain on the site runs through Iran: a 2018 withdrawal, a centrifuge count measured rising eightfold, a war, a closed strait, record diesel, fertiliser shortages. Each link is documented by a named institution.
Note the second column in the middle tier. Courts have enjoined a $1.776 billion fund, demanded sworn statements and refused to accept assurances. A prosecutor brought in to pursue political opponents resigned without filing a charge. Appeals courts blocked a postal rule and a redrawn map weeks before an election. The map is not a straight line downward, and drawing it that way would be inaccurate.
Other connections are weaker, and the map does not pretend otherwise. Inflation has many causes besides tariffs. Grocery prices respond to weather, wages and freight as well as energy. Where this site can show a mechanism it says so; where it can only show that two things are true at the same time, it says that instead.
The one connection that holds everywhere is the simplest: a decision was made, somebody benefited, and the people positioned to check it had been reduced. That is the shape of the whole thing, and it is why the map has the layout it does.